Who will win the US election?

The FDU poll showed that cryptocurrency owners favour Trump over his main opponent in the person of current Vice President Kamala Harris by a ratio of 50 to 38 percent.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll from last week, meanwhile, shows Harris ahead of Trump by a ratio of 45 to 41 per cent.


Recently, Trump's lead has also been fixed on a decentralised platform called Polymarket, which allows you to bet in cryptocurrency on a certain event in the future. For example, as of today, the chance of Donald winning is estimated at 50 per cent, while Harris' corresponding figure is 47 per cent.

This is an important point, because in the first half of August, Harris was ahead of Trump on this platform with an advantage of up to 10 per cent.


Current odds of victory for US presidential candidates on the Polymarket platform

The study’s executive director Dan Cassino, a professor of government and politics at FDU, commented on the results. Here’s his rejoinder to the situation Decrypt cites.

Trump is constantly reaching out to the cryptocurrency fan community. This seems to have borne fruit.


Indeed, The Donald has repeatedly brought up digital assets since the spring of 2024. That said, the peak of his attention to the cryptocurrency industry was a speech during the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville on 27 July. Then the politician promised to bring order to the coin niche with a few understandable actions.

First of all, Trump supports the idea of developing adequate regulation of the market by people who have a good attitude towards the blockchain sphere, rather than trying to fight it. The politician also promised to fire current SEC chairman Gary Gensler on his first day in office if he wins. To all of the above, Donald said that he is ready to stop selling cryptocurrency, which was previously confiscated by the US government. Instead, a U.S. coin reserve should be created.


US Vice President Kamala Harris

In general, the actual actions of the Trump team could play a decisive role in the election. The expert continues.

Supporting cryptocurrencies is a largely controversial issue that could bring even some Democrats to his side. The fact that cryptocurrency owners are not conservatives, liberals or voters from the MAGA camp means they could be influenced by Trump’s campaign. They are too large a group of people to ignore in an election.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump

Overall, among respondents who do not own cryptocurrencies, it is Harris who stands out with a 53 to 41 per cent advantage over Trump.

In a fresh survey of 801 respondents, 15 per cent of registered voters said they own cryptocurrencies. On top of that, it’s important to note that cryptocurrency owners are dominated by young men who belong to racial minorities.

Meanwhile, Telegram remains one of the most popular platforms for digital asset lovers to communicate. It turns out that the company keeps a considerable part of its own assets in crypto – this is the subject of a recent report by experts from the Financial Times.

The Telegram platform has received a significant part of its revenues from cryptocurrency-related activities. As of the end of 2023, the company had $400 million worth of coins under management, The Block reports.

At the same time, this amount of tokens significantly exceeded the amount of cash and cash equivalents at the disposal of the messenger’s management.

Table of digital assets at the disposal of Telegram

Recall, earlier the creator of Telegram Pavel Durov was arrested in France, but after a few days of detention he was released and appeared in court. In general, the entrepreneur was accused of complicity in the distribution of images with children of a sexual nature and other crimes like drug trafficking with the help of this messenger.

Paul’s bail was set at $5 million. In addition, he is subject to judicial supervision, and Durov himself cannot leave the territory of France.

Changes in the rate of cryptocurrency Toncoin for a month

A significant portion of the messenger’s revenue is listed in Telegram’s financial statements under the categories of “integrated wallet” and “sale of collectibles.” The total revenue for these two items was nearly $148 million, or about 40 per cent of Telegram’s annual revenue.

As for the “sale of collectibles,” the report states the following.

The platform sells various collectibles – usernames and virtual phone numbers – to its customers. The related revenue is recognised when the collectible is assigned to the user. Telegram also provides for the sale of collectibles between users and receives remuneration for facilitating the sale.

Experts at the Financial Times reported that at one point Telegram sold a large amount of Toncoin before the cryptocurrency’s price plummeted. We’re talking about the native TON blockchain asset in Telegram’s ecosystem.


Overall, it can be argued that the cryptocurrency industry is proving to be an increasingly serious force on a worldwide scale. Now the fans of decentralisation are being forced to please political leaders in one way or another, including the former US president. Obviously, with the launch of spot ETFs on Bitcoin and Efirium in 2024, this trend will only intensify.
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